Table 2

ARIMA model parameters for TMZ withdrawal in Figure 1B

EstimateStandard errort valuep value
ARIMA model parameters 1OutcomesNo transformationConstant82.12147.1381.7420.115
ARLag 1−0.3430.567−0.6050.560
Time periodNo transformationNumeratorLag 034.98314.4502.4210.039
PhaseNo transformationNumeratorLag 0327.73075.6124.3340.002
InteractNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−49.69015.668−3.1710.011
ARIMA model parameters 2
OutcomesNo transformationConstant82.14247.1471.7420.115
ARLag 1−0.3430.567−0.6050.560
PhaseNo transformationNumeratorLag 029.60655.1240.5370.604
6 months preinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 034.97714.4532.4200.039
6 months postinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−14.7056.041−2.4340.038
ARIMA model parameters 3
OutcomesNo transformationConstant82.14147.1461.7420.115
ARLag 1−0.3430.567−0.6050.560
PhaseNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−20.07865.658−0.3060.767
12 months preinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 034.97714.4522.4200.039
12 months postinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−14.7066.041−2.4340.038
ARIMA model parameters 4
OutcomesNo transformationConstant82.13947.1461.7420.115
ARLag 1−0.3430.567−0.6050.560
PhaseNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−69.76477.938−0.8950.394
18 months preinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 034.97814.4522.4200.039
18 months postinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−14.7066.041−2.4340.038
ARIMA model parameters 5
OutcomesNo transformationConstant82.13747.1451.7420.115
ARLag 1−0.3430.567−0.6050.560
PhaseNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−119.45191.262−1.3090.223
24 months preinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 034.97914.4522.4200.039
24 months postinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−14.7066.041−2.4340.038
ARIMA model parameters 6
OutcomesNo transformationConstant82.13447.1441.7420.115
ARLag 1−0.3430.567−0.6050.560
PhaseNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−169.141105.233−1.6070.142
30 months preinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 034.97914.4522.4200.039
30 months postinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−14.7066.041−2.4340.038
ARIMA model parameters 7
OutcomesNo transformationConstant82.13147.1421.7420.115
ARLag 1−0.3430.567−0.6050.560
PhaseNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−218.834119.624−1.8290.101
36 months preinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 034.98014.4512.4210.039
36 months postinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−14.7066.041−2.4350.038
ARIMA model parameters 8
OutcomesNo transformationConstant82.12847.1411.7420.115
ARLag 1−0.3430.567−0.6050.560
PhaseNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−268.529134.300−1.9990.077
42 months preinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 034.98114.4512.4210.039
42 months postinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−14.7066.040−2.4350.038
ARIMA model parameters 9
OutcomesNo transformationConstant82.12547.1401.7420.115
ARLag 1−0.3430.567−0.6050.560
PhaseNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−318.228149.176−2.1330.062
48 months preinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 034.98214.4502.4210.039
48 months postinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−14.7076.040−2.4350.038
ARIMA model parameters 10
OutcomesNo transformationConstant82.12147.1391.7420.115
ARLag 1−0.3430.567−0.6050.560
PhaseNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−367.929164.198−2.2410.052
54 months preinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 034.98314.4502.4210.039
54 months postinterventionNo transformationNumeratorLag 0−14.7076.040−2.4350.038