Figure 4. Equivalence of model predictions. A, Difference in prediction correlation between the GC (horizontal axis) or STP (vertical axis) model and the LN model for each neuron (r = 0.18, *p = 6.42 × 10−5). Red points indicate neurons with a significant improvement for the GC+STP model over the LN model (p < 0.05, permutation test); gray points indicate neurons that were not improved. B, Histogram of model equivalence for each unit, measured as the partial correlation between time-varying response predicted by the STP and GC models relative to the LN model prediction. Median equivalence for improved cells (0.29, bottom, red) was significantly greater than for non-improved cells (0.17, top, gray; Mann–Whitney U test, *p = 1.72 × 10−8). Arrows indicate median partial correlation for the GC model (0.43, left) and the STP model (0.68, right) when compared within-model, adjusted for differences in estimation data. C, Scatter plot compares equivalence (vertical axis) versus effect size (horizontal axis), i.e., the average change in prediction correlation for the STP and GC models relative to the LN model, for improved cells. Only a weak relationship between equivalence and effect size was observed (r = 0.22, *p = 0.0103). D, Prediction correlations for the combined GC+STP model (vertical axis) and the maximum of the GC and STP models (horizontal axis) for improved cells. Median prediction correlation was significantly higher for the combined model (0.6568) than for the greater of the individual models (0.6319; Wilcoxon signed-rank test, p = 1.41 × 10−14).