Review
Risk assessment as an evolved threat detection and analysis process

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Abstract

Risk assessment is a pattern of activities involved in detection and analysis of threat stimuli and the situations in which the threat is encountered. It is a core process in the choice of specific defenses, such as flight, freezing, defensive threat and defensive attack, that counter the threat and minimize the danger it poses. This highly adaptive process takes into account important characteristics, such as type and location (including distance from the subject) of the threat, as well as those (e.g. presence of an escape route or hiding place) of the situation, combining them to predict which specific defense is optimal with that particular combination of threat and situation. Risk assessment is particularly associated with ambiguity either of the threat stimulus or of the outcome of available defensive behaviors. It is also crucial in determining that threat is no longer present, permitting a return to normal, nondefensive behavior. Although risk assessment has been described in detail in rodents, it is also a feature of human defensive behavior, particularly in association with ambiguity. Rumination may be a specifically human form of risk assessment, more often expressed by women, and highly associated with anxiety.

Risk assessment behaviors respond to drugs effective against generalized anxiety disorder; however, flight, a dominant specific defense in many common situations, shows a pharmacological response profile closer to that of panic disorder. Risk assessment and flight also appear to show some consistent differences in terms of brain regional activation patterns, suggesting a potential biological differentiation of anxiety and fear/panic systems. An especially intriguing possibility is that mirror neurons may respond to some of the same types of situational differences that are analyzed during risk assessment, suggesting an additional functional role for these neurons.

Section snippets

Defensive behaviors

Defensive behaviors have evolved because they improve an animal's chance of survival in confrontations with threat; in particular, threat from predators and attacking conspecifics (Blanchard, 1997). As predators make their living by consuming prey, while attacking conspecifics enjoy substantial rewards as the result of successful attack, both have evolved a number of behavioral (and sometimes structural) adaptations that make such attack likely to succeed. This analysis suggests that successful

Some theoretical treatments of defensive behaviors and psychopathology

The association of defensive behaviors with threat, and some apparent behavioral and functional similarities between, particularly, RA and symptoms of anxiety disorders suggested a biological relationship between the two types of behavioral phenomena. This view, at a relatively low and empirical level, was a component of analyses of RA almost from the point where the pattern was conceptualized (Blanchard et al., 1991). Attempts to evaluate such relationships by analysis of effects of drugs

Drugs differentiate RA and flight

The suggestions that RA may be involved in generalized anxiety disorder (GAD) (Blanchard et al., 1991) and that flight may be associated with PD (Deakin and Graeff, 1991, Griebel et al., 1995) have led to an extensive literature on the effects of psychoactive agents in both the MDTB, and the ETM. Reviews of results obtained with the MDTB (Blanchard et al., 2001a, Blanchard et al., 2003) provide support for an association of RA with anxiety: Many drugs effective against GAD (a range of

Functional homologies of defensive behaviors between rodents and humans

These attempts to relate rodent defensive behaviors to human anxiety disorders quickly ran into an information gap: Are there systematic parallels between normal rodent and human behavioral responses to threat? How do these relate to threat-linked psychopathologies? In an attempt to provide some information on the first of these questions, Blanchard et al. (2001b) devised a set of scenarios precisely aimed at determining what people thought that they would do in response to combinations of

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    Preparation of this manuscript was supported by NIH RO1 MH081845.

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