Table 4.

Results of the model comparison of the 2 × 2 dynamic causal models in which visual reliability (VR) modulated the connection from V1-3 to IPS0–4 and modality-specific report (MR) modulated the connection from PFC to IPS0–4

FactorModulation VR and MRModulation VRModulation MRNo modulation
Model evidence (FFX)0–52.947–54.033–90.45
Posterior p (FFX)1000
Expected posterior p (RFX)0.5870.1360.1390.139
Exceedance p (RFX)0.9020.0320.0330.033
Protected exceedance p (RFX)0.6990.10.1010.101
  • FFX, fixed-effects analysis; RFX, random-effects analysis; model evidence corresponds to free energy (relative to full model) summed over participants (i.e., larger is better); expected posterior p, probability that a given model generated the data for a randomly selected subject; exceedance p, probability that a given model is more likely than any other model; protected exceedance p, probability that one model is more likely than any other model beyond chance.